Background: This study aimed to develop and validate a novel angiogenesis-related gene (ARG) signature and molecular subtypes by bioinformatics analysis.
Materials and Methods: The transcriptome data and clinical data were obtained from TCGA and ICGC database. We performed consensus clustering analysis to identify angiogenesis molecular subtypes for ccRCC. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to develop a novel ARG-related signature as a prognostic biomarker for ccRCC. Internal and external validation were then performed in TCGA and ICGC cohort, respectively.
Results: We identified a total of two angiogenesis molecular subtypes of ccRCC. The overall survival (OS) of subtype 1 ccRCC was significantly decreased compared with that of subtype 2 ccRCC (P=0.001). These two molecular subtypes have significantly different tumor microenvironment and immune checkpoint inhibitor sensitivities (P< 0.05). Besides, we developed a novel signature based on three ARGs (including MSX1, TIMP1 and JAG2) for subtype 1 ccRCC. The difference in OS between high- and low-risk group was statistically significant in training cohort (P=0.009), test cohort (P=0.024), the whole type 1 cohort (P< 0.001), and validation cohort (P=0.041). The AUC for one-year OS prediction was 0.732, 0.710, 0.725, and 0.645 in training cohort, test cohort, the whole type 1 cohort, and validation cohort, respectively. Independent prognostic analysis showed that this signature was an independent predictor for OS of subtype 1 ccRCC (P=0.028914). The power of this prognostic signature was superior to other signatures reported in previous studies.
Conclusion: We developed and successfully validated a novel ARG signature for predicting prognosis of subtype 1 ccRCC, which was superior to several previous signatures.
Keywords: clear cell renal cell carcinoma, angiogenesis, molecular subtypes, signature, prognosis