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血小板指标和载脂蛋白 A1 作为局部晚期食管鳞状细胞癌新辅助免疫化疗预测标志物的回顾性研究

 

Authors Zeng T , Liu YC, Wang XH, Yan J, Li SB, Deng D, Xing S

Received 2 October 2025

Accepted for publication 16 November 2025

Published 3 December 2025 Volume 2025:18 Pages 16967—16980

DOI https://doi.org/10.2147/JIR.S567945

Checked for plagiarism Yes

Review by Single anonymous peer review

Peer reviewer comments 2

Editor who approved publication: Dr Junhao Wang

Tao Zeng,1,2,* Yue-chang Liu,1,2,* Xiang-hui Wang,1,2,* Jun Yan,3 Shi-bing Li,1,2 Danning Deng,1,2 Shan Xing4 

1Department of Clinical Laboratory, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, 510655, People’s Republic of China; 2Biomedical Innovation Center, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510655, People’s Republic of China; 3Department of Clinical Laboratory, Guangdong Medical University, Zhanjiang, 524023, People’s Republic of China; 4Department of Clinical Laboratory, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-Sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, 510060, People’s Republic of China

*These authors contributed equally to this work

Correspondence: Danning Deng, Department of Clinical Laboratory, the Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, No. 26 Erheng Road of Yuancun, Tianhe District, Guangzhou, 510655, People’s Republic of China, Email dengdn@mail.sysu.edu.cn Shan Xing, Department of Clinical Laboratory, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-Sen University Cancer Center, 651 Dongfeng East Road, Guangzhou, 510060, People’s Republic of China, Email Xingshan@sysucc.org.cn

Purpose: To evaluate the predictive value of baseline and preoperative blood parameters for treatment efficacy and prognosis in patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (LA-ESCC) undergoing neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy (nCIT) followed by radical surgery.
Patients and Methods: This retrospective study analyzed clinical data from patients with LA-ESCC patients treated with nCIT followed by surgery (October 2019-November 2024). Patients were categorized based on pathological response (pathological complete response [pCR] and major pathological response [MPR]). Univariate and multivariate analyses identified factors associated with pCR and MPR. Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier methods were used to evaluate overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). Nomograms and Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves were created for prognostic prediction.
Results: Among 236 patients, the pCR rate was 31.8%, and the MPR rate was 51.7%. pCR was associated with improved DFS (Hazard Ratio [HR] = 0.27, 95% CI: 0.16– 0.43, p < 0.0001) but not OS (p = 0.058). MPR was significantly correlated with both DFS (HR=0.27, 95% CI: 0.17– 0.44, p < 0.0001) and OS (HR=0.38, 95% CI: 0.21– 0.71, p = 0.0023). Identified predictors of treatment response included baseline and preoperative platelet indices (mean platelet volume [MPV], platelet distribution width [PDW], platelet-large cell ratio [P-LCR]) for both pCR and MPR, along with preoperative Apolipoprotein A1 (ApoA1) specifically for MPR (all identified as independent predictors on univariate and multivariate analysis, p < 0.05), reflecting their role in modulating the inflammatory response. A predictive model combining MPV (HR = 0.86, 95% CI: 0.61– 1.22) and ApoA1 (HR = 0.24, 95% CI: 0.07– 0.81) demonstrated good accuracy in forecasting DFS (30 months: AUC = 0.71, 95% CI: 0.60– 0.81).
Conclusion: Baseline and preoperative blood parameters (MPV, PDW, P-LCR) and preoperative ApoA1 are valuable predictors of treatment response and prognosis in LA-ESCC. Nomograms incorporating these markers offer reliable prognostic insights for DFS.

Keywords: esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, neoadjuvant therapy, pathological complete response, prognosis, inflammation, biomarkers