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基于倾向评分匹配分析的代谢功能障碍相关脂肪肝对乙型肝炎病毒相关肝细胞癌患者预后的影响
Authors Xue J , Wang QX, Xiao HM, Shi MJ, Xie YB, Li S, Lin M, Chi XL
Received 1 April 2022
Accepted for publication 25 June 2022
Published 14 July 2022 Volume 2022:14 Pages 2193—2202
DOI https://doi.org/10.2147/CMAR.S368366
Checked for plagiarism Yes
Review by Single anonymous peer review
Peer reviewer comments 3
Editor who approved publication: Dr Ahmet Emre Eşkazan
Purpose: Both metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and hepatitis B virus (HBV) are risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Although concurrent MAFLD is common in patients with HBV-related HCC, whether MAFLD increases the risk of poor prognosis in patients with HBV-related HCC remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the impact of MAFLD on prognosis in patients with HBV-related HCC.
Patients and Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, 549 patients with HBV-related HCC were enrolled from January 2010 to April 2020 in Guangdong Provincial Hospital of Chinese Medicine, including 169 patients with MAFLD (MAFLD group) and 380 patients without MAFLD (Non-MAFLD group). Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was performed to balance the baseline characteristics. Kaplan–Meier survival curves were performed to compare the prognosis between the two matched groups. A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to determine the risk factors for poor prognosis.
Results: The median follow-up time for all patients was 20 (interquartile range 8– 40) months. We found concurrent MAFLD was associated with a significantly decreased PFS rate before and after PSM analysis. The 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year PFS rates for the MAFLD and Non-MAFLD groups after PSM were 61.3% and 70.8%, 43.9% and 54.5%, 31.1% and 41.8%, respectively. Cox multivariable analysis showed that concurrent MAFLD was an independent risk factor for poor prognosis (death or progression) (HR = 1.49, P = 0.001). More interestingly, the risk of poor prognosis was significantly higher in the MAFLD subtype with metabolic components ≥ 2 compared to those with metabolic components < 2 (HR = 1.97, P < 0.001).
Conclusion: Concurrent MAFLD was associated with a higher risk of poor prognosis in patients with HBV-related HCC, especially MAFLD with metabolic components ≥ 2.
Keywords: hepatocellular carcinoma, hepatitis B virus, metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease, poor prognosis