Objective: This study determined the cut-off value of Ki-67 expression and discussed the interaction between Ki-67 and histological grade, further explored the prognostic role of Ki-67 in hormone receptor-positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 negative (HR+/HER2-) breast cancer;.
Materials and Methods: We assessed the Ki-67 expression of 956 patients with HR+/HER2 breast cancer diagnosed in the General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University from 2015 to 2019 by immunohistochemistry (IHC), The disease-free survival (DFS) was defined as the time from postoperative to the first local recurrence, distant metastasis or death of the disease. The follow-up by means of inpatient or outpatient medical records and telephone.
Results: 22.5% was used as the cut-off for low/high Ki-67 expression in HR+/HER2- breast cancer. Compared with the value of 14%, which is commonly used in clinic at present, the consistency of the two values is moderate (Kappa = 0.484, P< 0.001). The expression of Ki-67 was increased with the grade. (Median: G1:10%; G2:20%; G3:40%. Mean: G1:13%; G2:23%; G3:39%, P < 0.001). Survival analysis was based on all patients for a median of 51 months (24– 89 months), 63 cases had recurrence or metastasis during the follow-up, which 21 cases had low expression of Ki-67 and 42 cases had high expression. The patients with Ki-67 ≥ 22.5% had a 2.969 higher risk of early recurrence and metastasis than the patients with Ki-67 < 22.5%. There were 4 cases of local recurrence, 7 cases of regional lymph node metastasis, and 52 cases of distant metastasis in all patients, the common distant metastases were bone, liver, and lung, and rare metastases were adrenal gland, bone marrow, and pericardium.
Conclusion: In HR+/HER2- breast cancer, patients with Ki-67 > 22.5% have a worse prognosis and are more likely to have early recurrence and metastasis.

Keywords: Ki-67, breast cancer, cut-off value, histological grade, recurrence and metastasis