Xilong Tang,1,2 Jianjin Xue,1,2 Jie Zhang,2 Jiajia Zhou1,2 

1Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Malignant Tumor Epigenetics and Gene Regulation, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, 510120, People’s Republic of China; 2Department of Surgery, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, 510120, People’s Republic of China

Correspondence: Jiajia Zhou, Department of Surgery, Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510120, People’s Republic of China, Email zhoujj29@mail.sysu.edu.cn

Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a prevalent malignancy within the digestive system, known for its poor prognosis. Gluconeogenesis, a critical metabolic pathway, is responsible for the synthesis of glucose in the normal liver. This study aimed to examine the role of gluconeogenesis-related genes (GRGs) in HCC and evaluate their impact on the tumor microenvironment infiltration and drug sensitivity in HCC.
Methods: We retrieved gene expression and clinical pathological data of HCC from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. This dataset was utilized to develop a prognosis model. The data from The International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC) served as an independent validation cohort. A least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis was applied to a curated panel of GRGs to construct and validate the predictive model. Furthermore, unsupervised consensus clustering, based on the expression levels of GRGs, categorized HCC patients into distinct subgroups.
Results: A four-gene prognostic model, referred to as GRGs, has been successfully developed with high accuracy and stability for the prediction of HCC patient prognosis. This model enables the stratification of patients into high or low risk groups based on individual risk scores, revealing significant differences in immune infiltration patterns and anti-tumor drug responses. Unsupervised consensus clustering analysis delineated four distinct subgroups of patients, each characterized by a unique prognosis and tumor immune microenvironment (TIME).
Conclusion: This study is the first to develop a prognostic model incorporating 4-GRGs that effectively predicts the prognosis, tumor microenvironment infiltration, and drug sensitivity in HCC patients. The model based on 4 GRGs may contribute to predict the prognosis, immunotherapy and chemotherapy response of HCC patients.

Keywords: hepatocellular carcinoma, gluconeogenesis metabolism, prognostic model, tumor microenvironment infiltration, drug sensitivity