已发表论文

基于 CT 影像组学的临床模型预测肝切除术后 VETC 阳性肝细胞癌患者的复发情况

 

Authors Lei Y , Bai Y , Su Y, Bai X , Wang Y, Zheng C

Received 26 June 2025

Accepted for publication 13 November 2025

Published 19 November 2025 Volume 2025:12 Pages 2585—2598

DOI https://doi.org/10.2147/JHC.S549825

Checked for plagiarism Yes

Review by Single anonymous peer review

Peer reviewer comments 3

Editor who approved publication: Prof. Dr. Imam Waked

Yu Lei,1– 3,* Yaowei Bai,1– 3,* Yang Su,1– 3,* Xiatong Bai,1– 3 Yingliang Wang,1– 3 Chuansheng Zheng1– 3 

1Department of Radiology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430022, People’s Republic of China; 2Hubei Provincial Clinical Research Center for Precision Radiology & Interventional Medicine, Wuhan, 430022, People’s Republic of China; 3Hubei Province Key Laboratory of Molecular Imaging, Wuhan, 430022, People’s Republic of China

*These authors contributed equally to this work

Correspondence: Chuansheng Zheng, Department of Radiology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Jiefang Avenue #1277, Wuhan, 430022, People’s Republic of China, Email hqzcsxh@sina.com Yingliang Wang, Department of Radiology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Jiefang Avenue #1277, Wuhan, 430022, People’s Republic of China, Email 18345197920@163.com

Objective: To construct a radiomics-based model for predicting postoperative recurrence in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with vessels encapsulating tumor clusters (VETC) positive based on CT scan.
Methods: This retrospective study enrolled patients who underwent surgical resection between January 2016 and January 2024 at Union Hospital, with pathologic confirmation of HCC and VETC status. An external test set was drawn from Chegu Hospital, covering January 2018 to January 2022. Tumor segmentation was performed on portal venous phase CT scan, and then radiomics features were extracted. These features were further analyzed using the LASSO algorithm and combined with clinical features to construct a radiomics-clinical combination model. Model performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Patients were divided into high- and low-risk groups based on model scores, and Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves were compared.
Results: A total of 243 patients were included (median age 56.7 years, 211 males). Nine radiomics features and two clinical features were selected to construct the combined model. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) for predicting 1-year recurrence was 0.898 (95% CI: 0.797– 0.999) in the internal test set and 0.804 (95% CI: 0.641– 0.967) in the external test set. Calibration curves and DCA demonstrated high net clinical benefit of the combined model. The median recurrence-free survival (RFS) of patients in the high-risk group was significantly lower than that in the low-risk group (internal test set: 13.5 vs 30.0 months, respectively. P=0.004; external test set: 13.0 vs 31.0 months, respectively. P< 0.0001).
Conclusion: The radiomics-clinical combination model showed high accuracy for preoperatively predicting recurrence in patients with VETC-positive HCC receiving hepatectomy.

Keywords: radiomics, vessels encapsulating tumor clusters, VETC, hepatectomy, recurrence, computed tomography, hepatocellular carcinoma